Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms1y
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
At least 12% 65%Market line of 9 lines
At least 12% 65%Market quality
35 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
$2.3K
Low open interestSpread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 28, 26, 4:00 PM UTCNov 3, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Dave Bronson in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election is 12% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Alaska Division of Elections
- The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Dave Bronson ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. The percentage is based on the first round of voting.
Rules for each outcome
- At least 10%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Dave Bronson in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election is 10% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 14%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Dave Bronson in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election is 14% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 16%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Dave Bronson in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election is 16% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 12%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Dave Bronson in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election is 12% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 24%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Dave Bronson in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election is 24% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 26%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Dave Bronson in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election is 26% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 18%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Dave Bronson in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election is 18% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 20%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Dave Bronson in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election is 20% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 22%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Dave Bronson in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election is 22% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
