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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. Brazil presidential election: first round winner?
Brazil presidential election: first round winner?

Brazil presidential election: first round winner?

PoliticsOne-OffElectionLatin America1y
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Flávio Bolsonaro
Flávio Bolsonaro 25%
Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality

24 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$168.8

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

17.0% / 24.0%

Spread

41.2%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 6 minutes ago

Mar 25, 26, 2:00 PMOct 4, 27, 2:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Flávio Bolsonaro25%

Rules

If Flávio Bolsonaro wins the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva wins the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Renan Santos wins the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Romeu Zema wins the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Fernando Haddad wins the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Ronaldo Caiado wins the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

If Flávio Bolsonaro wins the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva wins the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Renan Santos wins the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Romeu Zema wins the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Fernando Haddad wins the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Ronaldo Caiado wins the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.