What will Trump say during his bilateral with the Taoiseach of Ireland?
DogecoinOne-OffUS PoliticsMemecoinPolitics
KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Irish Open (99%)
Resolved: Sep 12, 2026, 9:21 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 12, 2026, 9:52 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Irish Open71%
Event does not qualify5%
Afford / Affordable / Affordability1%
AI / Artificial Intelligence1%
NATO25%
Iran (3+ times)64%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline69%
Golf / Golfer / Golfing99%
Crypto / Bitcoin1%
Immigrant / Immigration42%
Tariff98%
Israel / Israeli16%
Dublin1%
Ceasefire1%
Doonbeg1%
Greenland1%
Invest / Invested / Investment1%
European Union / EU1%
America First1%
Biden1%
Windmill1%
China / Chinese1%
Stock Market1%
Fake News1%
Ukraine1%
Russia / Russian1%
Hottest1%
Irish OpenWon
Iran (3+ times)Lost
Oil / Gas / GasolineLost
Golf / Golfer / GolfingLost
Immigrant / ImmigrationLost
TariffLost
Israel / IsraeliLost
Event does not qualifyLost
Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityLost
AI / Artificial IntelligenceLost
NATOLost
Crypto / BitcoinLost
DublinLost
CeasefireLost
DoonbegLost
GreenlandLost
Invest / Invested / InvestmentLost
European Union / EULost
America FirstLost
BidenLost
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Manifold MarketsRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the Bilateral Meeting with the Taoiseach of Ireland on September 12, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
- If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Bilateral Meeting with the Taoiseach of Ireland on September 12, 2026 will be used.
- Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
- Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.