Current implied probability
Bitcoin (BTC) 18%+2.0%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
80 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$474.4
Liquidity
$148.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
17.0% / 18.0%
Spread
5.9%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jan 6, 26, 7:00 AMJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Bitcoin (BTC)18%
Volume trend
$474Jul 210d of dataJul 11
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Bitcoin above ___ on July 11?
$757.3K60,000: 100%
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If Chainlink has a positive return in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Return will be calculated as: (last Price in ) minus (first Price in ), divided by (first Price in ).
- Price will be calculated by taking a simple average of the real-time CF Benchmarks index price in USD for for the 60 seconds in a given minute, ignoring the top and bottom 20% of values.
- If Bitcoin has a positive return in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Ethereum has a positive return in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Litecoin has a positive return in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.