What are the current odds for Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term??

Kalshi prices XRP at 97% as of October 8, 2026.

Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?

Bitcoin Ethereum Solana XRP Dogecoin HyperliquidOne-OffCardano Exchange US Politics2y

KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current implied probability

XRP 97%

Leader of 7 outcomes

Market quality

40 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Open interest

$2.7K

Medium open interest

Spread

6.0 pt

Wide spread

Market data

Updated 6 minutes ago

Aug 20, 26, 2:00 PM UTCJan 21, 29, 4:59 AM UTC

Outcome24hChance

Venue terms

Source: Kalshi

Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.

Early close:: Yes
Settlement timer:: 30m (informational)

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Rules

If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces its completed purchase of Bitcoin for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles via:the U.S. Department of the Treasury the Federal Register

A purchase means the named cryptocurrency acquired for value and held by the U.S. Department of the Treasury, including units bought with the proceeds of selling other digital assets already held. The announcement must state that the purchase has been made. Each strike settles on its own token, and more than one strike can resolve YES. The following do NOT count: An intended, planned or authorized purchase, including one authorized by legislation or by executive order Units confiscated pursuant to criminal or civil enforcement proceedings, or otherwise received rather than bought Exchange-traded products, futures or other derivative exposure

Rules for each outcome

XRP: If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces its completed purchase of XRP for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Bitcoin: If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces its completed purchase of Bitcoin for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Ethereum: If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces its completed purchase of Ethereum for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Solana: If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces its completed purchase of Solana for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Hyperliquid: If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces its completed purchase of Hyperliquid (HYPE) for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Cardano: If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces its completed purchase of Cardano for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Dogecoin: If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces its completed purchase of Dogecoin for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.