KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
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Stored price
0 87.5%Leader of 6 outcomes
0 87.5%Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$9.8
Open interest
$61.9K
High open interestBid / Ask
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0Spread
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Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jan 18, 26, 10:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · 0
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which Trump Cabinet members will remain in place by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many US cabinet members will leave in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump state that he has fired Lisa Cook?
KalshiWill Elon musk, JD Vance, or more than 2 members of Trump administration follow https://x.com/cremieuxrecueil?s=09 by EO
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump pardon any of his cabinet members from his second term?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Trump say during his rally in Michigan?
KalshiRules
If President Trump has announced that he asked for the resignation of, or fired, exactly 0 non-acting Cabinet members before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An announcement will be considered to be made by President Trump if it is announced on President Trump's personal or official social media accounts, made by President Trump in a video or audio format, a direct quote from President Trump in written reporting, or otherwise written or released directly from President Trump. The withdrawal of a request for resignation, or the reversal of a decision to fire, does not negate the initial request for resignation or decision to fire for the purposes of this Contract. For the purposes of this Contract, it does not matter if the Cabinet member does not actually resign, is removed, or otherwise leaves the position. For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well the Administrator of the EPA, the President's Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. An "acting" member of the Cabinet is not included.
Rules for each outcome
- 0
- If President Trump has announced that he asked for the resignation of, or fired, exactly 0 non-acting Cabinet members before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 1
- If President Trump has announced that he asked for the resignation of, or fired, exactly 1 non-acting Cabinet members before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 2
- If President Trump has announced that he asked for the resignation of, or fired, exactly 2 non-acting Cabinet members before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4
- If President Trump has announced that he asked for the resignation of, or fired, exactly 4 non-acting Cabinet members before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 3
- If President Trump has announced that he asked for the resignation of, or fired, exactly 3 non-acting Cabinet members before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5
- If President Trump has announced that he asked for the resignation of, or fired, exactly 5 non-acting Cabinet members before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
