Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast5+ 71.1%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
12
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 52 minutes ago
LaggingJan 12, 26, 1:25 AM UTCJan 3, 27, 1:25 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many Cabinet members will Trump say he fired in 2026?
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FutuurWill some members (1 or more) leave the EU (European Union) before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump pardon any of his cabinet members from his second term?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump wins in 2024, will any members of his Cabinet be former Trump administration Cabinet members?
Manifold MarketsRules
Leaving means leaving cabinet altogether.
- If someone went from one position to another in the cabinet, they are still in the cabinet.
- leave means leave for any reason. resignation, firing, impeachment, death and anything else counts as leaving.
- if JD vance becomes president this counts as leaving the cabinet.
- must have officially left their role before end of 2026(washington dc time).
- Announcement isnt enough.
