Which Trump Cabinet members will remain in place by the end of 2026?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Which Trump Cabinet members will remain in place by the end of 2026??

Manifold Markets prices JD Vance (Vice President) at 99% as of October 26, 2026.

When does Which Trump Cabinet members will remain in place by the end of 2026? resolve?

Which Trump Cabinet members will remain in place by the end of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is Which Trump Cabinet members will remain in place by the end of 2026? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Taking Cabinet members from here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Second_cabinet_of_Donald_Trump

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POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in October?

• No change-1.0pt95%
• 25 bps increase5%
• 25 bps decrease0%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$67.1M

24h Vol

$4.1M

POLYMARKET

Which party will win the House in 2026?

• Democratic Party91.1%
• Republican Party8.9%

Total Vol

$23.5M

24h Vol

$2.2M

KALSHI

Which party will win the U.S. House?

• Democratic Party-0.4pt90.2%
• Republican Party+0.3pt9.8%

Total Vol

$71.6M

24h Vol

$1.8M

POLYMARKET

US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

• October 24+0.3pt100%
• October 28+3.0pt94%
• October 31+1.0pt85%

+17 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

• Gadi Eizenkot+1.8pt56.8%
• Benjamin Netanyahu-3.0pt27.4%
• Naftali Bennett13.7%

+16 more outcomes

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep-1.0pt63.5%
• D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt26.5%
• Republicans sweep

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