PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
None before 2027 · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored reference
None before 2027 39.2%Leader of 21 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
None before 2027 39.2%Market quality
81 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$3.4K
Liquidity
$275.8K
High liquidityOpen interest
$18.8K
Bid / Ask
— / —
None before 2027Spread
—
Comments
0
7d Change
-15.0 pts
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
May 22, 26, 7:11 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · None before 2027
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?
PolymarketWhen will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?
KalshiWhich Trump Cabinet members will remain in place by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
PolymarketWho will leave the Trump administration in 2026?
FutuurWill Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration in 2026?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration.
- If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “the named outcome”.
- An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
- If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first.
- If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
- For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA).
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? · Susie Wiles 28%