FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
Tulsi Gabbard 86%Leader of 10 outcomes
Tulsi Gabbard 86%Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$7.3K
Medium liquidityTraders
89
Comments
8
Market data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
PolymarketWill Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration in 2026?
KalshiWho will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
PolymarketHow many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?
PolymarketWill Katie Zacharia take another Trump administration role?
KalshiWho will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This event predicts which of the listed individuals will cease to hold their office within the Trump administration at any point between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 UTC.
- An individual is considered to have left the administration if they resign, are dismissed, are reassigned outside the administration, or otherwise no longer occupy an official government position within it.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) is an official announcement from the White House or the relevant U.S. government department confirming the individual’s departure.
- If official confirmation is delayed, incomplete, or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will consist of corroboration from multiple major, reputable U.S. news organizations reporting the individual’s confirmed departure based on official statements.
- Resolution will prioritize the substantive outcome over minor technicalities in timing or wording, and Futuur may cancel the markets with a public explanation if a fair determination becomes impossible.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027? · Dan Bongino 100%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Susie Wiles 34%
- Also available on Limitless — Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Karoline Leavitt 50%