KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Tom Homan · —
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Stored price
Tom Homan 63%Leader of 34 outcomes
Tom Homan 63%Market quality
67 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$8.8K
Open interest
$9.6K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Tom HomanSpread
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Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Nov 7, 26, 1:30 AM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Tom Homan
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will leave the Trump administration before Jul 2027?
KalshiWho will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
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KalshiWill at least one person who voted for Trump be deported by the Trump Administration
Manifold MarketsWill New Jersey withhold federal tax dollars in protest of the Trump administration before 2028?
Manifold MarketsRules
If Howard Lutnick leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The White Houseofficial government records and registriesthe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalFinancial TimesCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBCABCCBSCNBCPoliticoABC News AustraliaDeutsche WelleBBC News
- This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange.
Rules for each outcome
- Tom Homan
- If Tom Homan leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Howard Lutnick
- If Howard Lutnick leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
- If Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Pete Hegseth
- If Pete Hegseth leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kevin Hassett
- If Kevin Hassett leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kash Patel
- If Kash Patel leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Marco Rubio
- If Marco Rubio leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Scott Bessent
- If Scott Bessent leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Linda McMahon
- If Linda McMahon leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dan Caine
- If Dan Caine leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Mike Huckabee
- If Mike Huckabee leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Sean Duffy
- If Sean Duffy leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Brad Cooper
- If Brad Cooper leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Steve Witkoff
- If Steve Witkoff leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Todd Blanche
- If Todd Blanche leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Chris Wright
- If Chris Wright leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Steven Cheung
- If Steven Cheung leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Brooke Rollins
- If Brooke Rollins leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kelly Loeffler
- If Kelly Loeffler leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Peter Navarro
- If Peter Navarro leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Russell Vought
- If Russell Vought leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Stephen Miller
- If Stephen Miller leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Bill Pulte
- If Bill Pulte leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Mike Waltz
- If Mike Waltz leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Doug Burgum
- If Doug Burgum leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jamieson Greer
- If Jamieson Greer leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Lee Zeldin
- If Lee Zeldin leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Rodney Scott
- If Rodney Scott leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Mehmet Oz
- If Mehmet Oz leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Scott Turner
- If Scott Turner leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Christopher Landau
- If Christopher Landau leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Doug Collins
- If Doug Collins leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Brendan Carr
- If Brendan Carr leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- John Ratcliffe
- If John Ratcliffe leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
