PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Karoline Leavitt 100%+80.0ptLeader of 21 outcomes
Market quality
66 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.2K
Liquidity
$79.4K
High liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
+0.5 pts
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Nov 5, 25, 5:34 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
100%
100%
100%
100%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
- The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Futuur — Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026? · Tulsi Gabbard 86%
- Also available on Kalshi — Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Karoline Leavitt 100%
- Also available on Limitless — Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Karoline Leavitt 50%
Open markets
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+39 more outcomes
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+17 more outcomes
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+35 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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- 24h Vol
- $343.1K
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt14%
+48 more outcomes
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- Gadi Eizenkot+3.4pt55.7%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027??
- Polymarket prices Karoline Leavitt at 100% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027? resolve?
- Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Where else is Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Futuur, Kalshi, Limitless.