Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
4.0 pts (24h)One-OffUS PoliticsPolitics2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastSusie Wiles 34%+4.0ptLeader of 30 outcomes
Forecasters
11
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+13.0 pts
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleSep 30, 26, 9:28 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 2:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will RFK Jr. have an official role in the Trump Administration at the start of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill U.S. Under Secretary of State Sarah B. Rogers leave her role by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Katie Zacharia take another Trump administration role?
KalshiWill DeSantis have a role in Trump’s administration?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Katie Zacharia leave the role of White House Press Secretary?
FutuurWho will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
PolymarketRules
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpadminleave/who-will-leave-the-trump-administration/kxtrumpadminleave-26dec31
- Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
- Kalshi's rules: If listed answer leaves their role before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027? · Dan Bongino 100%
- Also available on Futuur — Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026? · Tulsi Gabbard 86%
- Also available on Limitless — Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Karoline Leavitt 50%