KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 49%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$10.1K
Medium liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Dec 4, 25, 3:00 PM UTCNov 7, 29, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
If the named outcome wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2028 Class III New York Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Democratic Party of New York
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — 2028 New York Democratic Senate Nominee? · Alexandria Ocasio Cortez 39%
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $837.2K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
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+16 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213M
- 24h Vol
- $477.5K
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- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
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- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for New York Democratic Senate nominee in 2028??
- Kalshi prices Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 49% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does New York Democratic Senate nominee in 2028? resolve?
- New York Democratic Senate nominee in 2028? is scheduled to resolve on November 7, 2029.
- How is New York Democratic Senate nominee in 2028? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2028 Class III New York Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is New York Democratic Senate nominee in 2028? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Manifold Markets.