Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastSummer Lee 31.6%Leader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
3
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+20.5 pts
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleOct 3, 26, 12:30 AM UTCNov 7, 29, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
New York Democratic Senate nominee in 2028?
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PolymarketIf this person is the Democratic Senate candidate for Maine, will they win the 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsRules
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsenatepad/democratic-nominee-for-senate-in-pennsylvania/kxsenatepad-28
- Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
- Kalshi's rules: If the named outcome wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2028 Class III Pennsylvania Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.