KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityBrendan Boyle 34%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$6.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
2.1% / 9.1%
Spread
7.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 23 minutes ago
Mar 26, 26, 2:00 PMNov 7, 29, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
John Fetterman10%
Compare venues· Brendan Boyle
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Low | 34% | — | $0 | $6.8K | 23 minutes ago | |
 Manifold Markets85% match · auto | — | 22% | — | — | — | 10 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Manifold Markets
2028 Pennsylvania Democratic Senate Nominee?
1y
+13.7pt30.3%
+5.8pt22.4%
-1.3pt15.3%
+3 more outcomes
Community forecast3 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
If John Fetterman wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2028 Class III Pennsylvania Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Brendan Boyle wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2028 Class III Pennsylvania Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Chris Deluzio wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2028 Class III Pennsylvania Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Conor Lamb wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2028 Class III Pennsylvania Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Susan Wild wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2028 Class III Pennsylvania Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Bob Casey Jr. wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2028 Class III Pennsylvania Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$305Jul 28d of dataJul 27
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If John Fetterman wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2028 Class III Pennsylvania Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Brendan Boyle wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2028 Class III Pennsylvania Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Chris Deluzio wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2028 Class III Pennsylvania Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Conor Lamb wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2028 Class III Pennsylvania Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Susan Wild wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2028 Class III Pennsylvania Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Bob Casey Jr. wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2028 Class III Pennsylvania Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.