Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastAlexandria Ocasio Cortez 39.2%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
10
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleApr 19, 26, 3:43 AM UTCJun 25, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolves to the winner of the 2028 New York Democratic primary for senate for the seat currently held by the named outcome.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — New York Democratic Senate nominee in 2028? · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 49%
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $837.2K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213M
- 24h Vol
- $477.5K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for 2028 New York Democratic Senate Nominee??
- Manifold Markets prices Alexandria Ocasio Cortez at 39% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does 2028 New York Democratic Senate Nominee? resolve?
- 2028 New York Democratic Senate Nominee? is scheduled to resolve on June 25, 2028.
- How is 2028 New York Democratic Senate Nominee? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves to the winner of the 2028 New York Democratic primary for senate for the seat currently held by the named outcome.
- Where else is 2028 New York Democratic Senate Nominee? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi.