How many New York Democratic House Candidates will underperform Harris’s 2024 Vote Percent?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElectionTech23dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast1 31%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
2
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+16.7 pts
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleOct 5, 26, 6:41 AM UTCNov 4, 26, 6:29 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
A Democratic candidate will be considered to have ‘underperformed Harris’ if the vote percent they get in the 2026 US House elections is strictly less than the vote percent Kamala Harris recieved in their district in 2024.
- A Democratic Candidates vote percent includes all parties they are listed on the ballot under, such as Common Sense or Working for Families.
- If this was the 2026 NY-3 Result:
- Tom Suozzi (Democratic) 46.0%
- Tom Suozzi (Common Sense) 10.0%
- Mike LiPetri (Republican) 44%
