Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Specific Margin of Victory
3.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffElectionLatin America2d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Flávio Bolsonaro 2-4% · —
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Stored reference
Flávio Bolsonaro 2-4% 25.2%Leader of 14 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Flávio Bolsonaro 2-4% 25.2%Market quality
80 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$31K
Liquidity
$322.8K
High liquidityOpen interest
$16.2K
Bid / Ask
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Flávio Bolsonaro 2-4%Spread
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Comments
1
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Oct 20, 26, 12:35 AM UTCOct 26, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · Flávio Bolsonaro 2-4%
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Manifold MarketsRules
The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 25, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the next Brazil Presidential Election.
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If a candidate other than Flávio Bolsonaro or Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receives the most valid votes in the second round, or if the top two candidates receive exactly the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to "Other".
