PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 14, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Howard Lutnick · —
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Stored reference
Howard Lutnick 73%Leader of 15 outcomes
Howard Lutnick 73%Market quality
25 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$623.3
Liquidity
$1.5K
Low liquidityOpen interest
$613.2
Bid / Ask
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Howard LutnickSpread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 57 minutes ago
LaggingNov 14, 26, 3:00 AM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · Howard Lutnick
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
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FutuurWill Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration in 2026?
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
- The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.