KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Before Jul 1, 2027 · —
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Stored price
Before Jul 1, 2027 77.5%Leader of 4 outcomes
Before Jul 1, 2027 77.5%Market quality
21 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$1.5K
Low open interestBid / Ask
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Before Jul 1, 2027Spread
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Market data
Updated 54 minutes ago
LaggingOct 14, 26, 4:00 AM UTCDec 1, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Jul 1, 2027
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Rules
If Donald Trump states that he has fired Lisa Cook from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Donald J. TrumpThe White HouseThe New York TimesThe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBCC-SPANThe InformationBBC
- The statement must say that Lisa Cook has been fired or removed from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or that he is firing her now (for example, "I'm firing her"). Statements about the August 2025 attempt to fire her do not count. A statement that he will, intends to, or may fire her, including if the Committee of Inquiry finds cause, or that a process to remove her is under way, does not count.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Donald Trump states that he has fired Lisa Cook from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If Donald Trump states that he has fired Lisa Cook from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Donald Trump states that he has fired Lisa Cook from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If Donald Trump states that he has fired Lisa Cook from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
