Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
6.1 pts (24h)One-OffPoliticsElectionLatin America24d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Flávio Bolsonaro 84.7%-7.0ptLeader of 18 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
≤89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$95.3K
Liquidity
$1.9M
High liquiditySpread
1.7 pt
Tight spreadComments
52
7d Change
+6.3 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Feb 11, 26, 10:50 PM UTCOct 4, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
- The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election.
- If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names.
- This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
- If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".