Current implied probability
Flávio Bolsonaro 65%+3.5%Leader of 32 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$6.6K
Liquidity
$484.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
0.2% / 0.3%
Spread
50.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Feb 11, 26, 10:53 PMOct 4, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Selected outcome
Flávio Bolsonaro65%
Also available on Kalshi
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
1.0%1y
+1.0%67%
+3.0%18%
0%
+10 more outcomes
44 • Low qualityModerate spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$201.3
24h Vol$1
KALSHIRules
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
- The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election.
- If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names.
- This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
- If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
- The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election.
- If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names.
- This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
- If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".