Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
4.5% (24h)One-OffPoliticsElectionLatin America2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Flávio Bolsonaro 78%+4.5%Leader of 32 outcomes
Market quality
91 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$4.9K
Liquidity
$808.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
77.0% / 79.0%
Spread
2.6%
Tight spread7d Change
-3.5%
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Feb 11, 26, 10:50 PMOct 4, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Flávio Bolsonaro78%
Large trades
$1.1k99.9%POLYMARKETNoparagonfalcon25d ago
POLYMARKETNoparagonfalcon25d agoVolume trend
$4.9kJul 225d of dataJul 26
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A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
- The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election.
- If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names.
- This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
- If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".