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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. New Zealand Election 2nd Place (Polymarket)
Manifold Markets

New Zealand Election 2nd Place (Polymarket)

One-OffPoliticsElectionUS Politics1y
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
National Party 45.3%
Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters

17

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 6 minutes ago

May 25, 26, 10:25 PMDec 31, 27, 10:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

National Party45%

Rules

Resolves the same as: https://polymarket.com/event/new-zealand-election-2nd-place-393

Manifold Markets
  • Rules below are a guide only:
  • A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
  • This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
  • If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
  • The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$65,147.70-0.82%EthereumETH$1,755.38-1.46%SolanaSOL$72.49-0.80%DogecoinDOGE$0.0862-0.65%XRPXRP$1.20-1.09%BNBBNB$602.67-0.55%

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Rules

Resolves the same as: https://polymarket.com/event/new-zealand-election-2nd-place-393

Manifold Markets
  • Rules below are a guide only:
  • A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
  • This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
  • If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
  • The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election.