PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Flavio Bolsonaro
Resolved: Oct 5, 2026, 3:40 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 6, 2026, 3:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Flavio Bolsonaro100%
Lula74%
Flavio BolsonaroWon
Before close: 100% ·
Clariana BaraoLost
Before close: 0% ·
Edmilson CostaLost
Before close: 0% ·
Escritor Augusto CuryLost
Before close: 0% ·
Hertz DiasLost
Before close: 0% ·
LulaLost
Before close: 0% ·
Pablo MarçalLost
Before close: 0% ·
Renan SantosLost
Before close: 0% ·
Ronaldo CaiadoLost
Before close: 0% ·
Rui Costa PimentaLost
Before close: 0% ·
SamaraLost
Before close: 0% ·
Veterinário Wilson GrassiLost
Before close: 0% ·
ZemaLost
Before close: 0% ·
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
- Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won.
- If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market.
- This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
- If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".