Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
7.0 pts (24h)One-OffPoliticsElectionLatin America1y
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Augusto Cury 57%-7.0ptLeader of 14 outcomes
Market quality
55 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.8K
Liquidity
$23.4K
Medium liquiditySpread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Aug 31, 26, 4:00 PM UTCOct 4, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
If the named outcome finishes in 3rd place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
- In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
- Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
- Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
- If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place?
- Kalshi prices Augusto Cury at 57% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place resolve?
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place is scheduled to resolve on October 4, 2027.
- How is Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome finishes in 3rd place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.