KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAldo Rebelo 0%Leader of 13 outcomes
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$8.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Apr 23, 26, 4:00 AMOct 4, 27, 2:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Eduardo Bolsonaro6%
Compare venues· Renan Santos
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall76% match · auto | High | 65% | 0pt | $1K | $398.4K | 13 minutes ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis page | Low | 60% | -5pt | $0 | $8.6K | 13 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
3.0%2mo
+3.0%65%
16%
-0.5%8%
+29 more outcomes
80 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$474.4K
24h Vol$1K
POLYMARKETRules
If Aldo Rebelo finishes in 3rd place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
- In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
- Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
- Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
- If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$1Jul 216d of dataJul 24
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If Aldo Rebelo finishes in 3rd place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
- In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
- Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
- Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
- If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.