Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais
1.5 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffElectionLatin America25d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Lula 82%+1.5ptLeader of 13 outcomes
Market quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.3K
Liquidity
$126.4K
High liquiditySpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
-4.5 pts
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Aug 17, 26, 10:31 AM UTCOct 4, 26, 6:00 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio de Janeiro
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Alagoas
PolymarketElected Governor of Minas Gerais in 2026
FutuurElected Senators for Minas Gerais in 2026
FutuurBrazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Minas Gerais (MG)?
Manifold MarketsRules
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Minas Gerais, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Minas Gerais.
- Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Minas Gerais.
- If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market.
- This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
- If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
