Current implied probability
Renan Santos 50%+6.5%Leader of 32 outcomes
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.8K
Liquidity
$294K
High liquidityBid / Ask
46.0% / 54.0%
Spread
17.4%
Wide spread7d Change
+9.5%
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Feb 11, 26, 10:47 PMOct 4, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Selected outcome
Renan Santos50%
Also available on Kalshi
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
5.0%1y
+5.0%20%
0%
0%
+10 more outcomes
28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$39.4
24h Vol$0
KALSHIRules
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
- The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election.
- If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names.
- This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
- If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
- The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election.
- If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names.
- This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
- If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".