Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
2.0% (24h)One-OffPoliticsElectionLatin America2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Renan Santos 65%-2.0%Leader of 32 outcomes
Market quality
80 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$4.1K
Liquidity
$461.3K
High liquidityBid / Ask
64.0% / 66.0%
Spread
3.1%
Moderate spread7d Change
-2.5%
Market data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Feb 11, 26, 10:45 PMOct 4, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Renan Santos65%
Compare venues· Renan Santos
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | High | 65% | 0pt | $4.1K | $461.3K | 22 minutes ago | |
 Kalshi76% match · auto | Low | 60% | -5pt | $0 | $8.6K | 22 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
1y
60%
19%
19%
+10 more outcomes
44 • Low qualitySpread unknownMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$12.9K
24h Vol$0
KALSHIRules
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
- The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election.
- If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names.
- This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
- If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$4.1kJul 225d of dataJul 26
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A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
- The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election.
- If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names.
- This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
- If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".