Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
1.8 pts (24h)One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElection3d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecast
Karen Bass 58%-1.8ptLeader of 16 outcomes
Karen Bass 58%-1.8ptForecasters
124
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+11.3 pts
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Jan 13, 25, 9:14 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman)
KalshiLos Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Karen Bass)
KalshiLos Angeles mayoral election margin of victory?
KalshiLos Angeles mayoral election: voter turnout
KalshiLjubljana Mayoral Election Winner
PolymarketLA Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory?
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.