Current implied probability
No 89%+0.0pt
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$9.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
10.0% / 12.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Tight spread7d Change
-4.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Apr 1, 26, 8:04 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes11%
Volume trend
$31Jul 418d of dataJul 25
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution.
- Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
- Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held.
- An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.