When will the Russian invasion of Ukraine end? ($1000M sub)
ChainlinkOne-OffMiddle EastRussia / UkraineGeopolitics4y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 23, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast2030+ 24.3%Leader of 8 outcomes
Forecasters
251
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleOct 2, 23, 10:56 AM UTCDec 31, 30, 12:59 PM UTC
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PolymarketRules
I will resolve based on the (de facto) end date on this Wikipedia page:
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russo-Ukrainian_war_(2022%E2%80%93present)
- I will wait until the end date has been the same for a full 7 day period.
- If the article is renamed, split or merged I will update the link above to the closest equivalent article.
- I will resolve in line with the Wikipedia editors unless it's clear that this is not in line with the "spirit" of the question.
- The spirit of the question is about when the armed conflict substantially stops regardless of who controls what territory.
