When will the Russian invasion of Ukraine end? ($1000M sub)

ChainlinkOne-OffMiddle East Russia / Ukraine Geopolitics4y

Manifold MarketsNo KYC

Current community forecast

2023 0%

Leader of 8 outcomes

Forecasters

246

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 5 days ago

Stale

Oct 2, 23, 10:56 AMDec 31, 30, 12:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

20241%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

I will resolve based on the (de facto) end date on this Wikipedia page:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russo-Ukrainian_war_(2022%E2%80%93present)
I will wait until the end date has been the same for a full 7 day period.
If the article is renamed, split or merged I will update the link above to the closest equivalent article.
I will resolve in line with the Wikipedia editors unless it's clear that this is not in line with the "spirit" of the question.
The spirit of the question is about when the armed conflict substantially stops regardless of who controls what territory.

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Rules

I will resolve based on the (de facto) end date on this Wikipedia page:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russo-Ukrainian_war_(2022%E2%80%93present)
I will wait until the end date has been the same for a full 7 day period.
If the article is renamed, split or merged I will update the link above to the closest equivalent article.
I will resolve in line with the Wikipedia editors unless it's clear that this is not in line with the "spirit" of the question.
The spirit of the question is about when the armed conflict substantially stops regardless of who controls what territory.

When will the Russian invasion of Ukraine end? ($1000M sub)

ChainlinkOne-OffMiddle East Russia / Ukraine Geopolitics4y

Manifold MarketsNo KYC

Current community forecast

2023 0%

Leader of 8 outcomes

Forecasters

246

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 5 days ago

Stale

Oct 2, 23, 10:56 AMDec 31, 30, 12:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

20241%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

I will resolve based on the (de facto) end date on this Wikipedia page:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russo-Ukrainian_war_(2022%E2%80%93present)
I will wait until the end date has been the same for a full 7 day period.
If the article is renamed, split or merged I will update the link above to the closest equivalent article.
I will resolve in line with the Wikipedia editors unless it's clear that this is not in line with the "spirit" of the question.
The spirit of the question is about when the armed conflict substantially stops regardless of who controls what territory.

Related Markets

Nothing Ever Happens: July

$677.4

Nothing: 81%

POLYMARKET

First overseas visit of the next UK PM?

$264.8

USA 🇺🇸: 7.4%

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Nothing Ever Happens: June

$115

Something: 1%

POLYMARKET

Will BRICS have a new member join or current member leave first?

$100

new member joins: 83.9%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Who will Andy Burnham meet in person in 2026?

Donald Trump: 58.9%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?

$15.5K

Yes: 8%

POLYMARKET

Active in these topics

ChainlinkLINK$7.30-1.05%

BitcoinBTC$60,143.60-0.33%

SolanaSOL$70.79-2.12%

EthereumETH$1,572.75-0.61%

XRPXRP$1.05-1.17%

BNBBNB$558.17-1.57%

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Chainlink connected SWIFT and JPMorgan to crypto. LINK still trades at $7Crypto News

Mass drone strikes lift Polymarket odds of Ukraine retaking Crimea to 12%Blockchain.News

LINK Price Prediction: Korean Banking Deal Can't Save a Chart That's Screaming Seller ControlBlockchain.News

Rules

I will resolve based on the (de facto) end date on this Wikipedia page:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russo-Ukrainian_war_(2022%E2%80%93present)
I will wait until the end date has been the same for a full 7 day period.
If the article is renamed, split or merged I will update the link above to the closest equivalent article.
I will resolve in line with the Wikipedia editors unless it's clear that this is not in line with the "spirit" of the question.
The spirit of the question is about when the armed conflict substantially stops regardless of who controls what territory.