If Ukraine holds an election while the Russian invasion of Ukraine is ongoing, who will win?
PoliticsOne-OffElectionGeopoliticsRussia / Ukraine1y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastValerii Zaluzhnyi 41%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
31
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleMar 6, 25, 8:49 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
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Update 2026-07-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Resolves N/A if the war ends without an election being held
- To determine when the war has ended, the creator will wait for Wikipedia editors to rename the Russia-Ukraine War (2022-present) page, backdating the end to whenever Wikipedia says it ended
