Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?
One-OffPoliticsElectionUS Politics1y
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityHunter Biden 18%Leader of 36 outcomes
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.1K
Liquidity
$250.8K
High liquidityBid / Ask
18.0% / 20.0%
Spread
11.1%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Jul 24, 25, 10:15 PMJan 1, 28, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Hunter Biden18%
Also available on Manifold Markets
Who will run for the 2028 Democratic nomination for the presidency? [Add Answers]
8mo
3.9%
47.9%
50.9%
+25 more outcomes
Community forecast104 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$17.1K
24h Vol$52
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
If Cory Booker announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Hunter Biden announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Gavin Newsom announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Josh Shapiro announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Pete Buttigieg announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Gretchen Whitmer announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If Cory Booker announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Hunter Biden announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Gavin Newsom announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Josh Shapiro announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Pete Buttigieg announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Gretchen Whitmer announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.