Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3.9 pts (24h)One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElection1y
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
J.D. Vance 87%Leader of 35 outcomes
Market quality
70 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.9K
Liquidity
$189.6K
High liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Mar 22, 25, 2:00 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will run for the 2028 Republican nomination for the presidency? [Add Answers]
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Manifold MarketsRules
If the named outcome announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- If the named outcome Jr. announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination??
- Kalshi prices J.D. Vance at 87% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? resolve?
- Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2028.
- How is Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Manifold Markets.