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Who will run for the 2028 Republican nomination for the presidency? [Add Answers]
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
JD Vance 79%Leader of 42 outcomes
JD Vance 79%Forecasters
57
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-2.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleDec 13, 24, 2:50 PM UTCFeb 16, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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ForecastExRules
Resolution Criteria
- For each candidate listed, the market will resolve YES if they:
- Officially announce their candidacy for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, OR
- File paperwork with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) to run for president as a Republican in 2028, OR
- Takes part in an official Republican presidential debate, OR
- Appear on any state's Republican presidential primary ballot in 2028
