Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 53.2%
Forecasters
17
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleMay 21, 25, 12:48 AM UTCNov 5, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will JD Vance be the 2028 Republican nominee for President?
Manifold MarketsWill Marco Rubio win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExWill Donald J. Trump win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExWill Tulsi Gabbard win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExWill Matt gaetz win the Republican nomination for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill either Rubio or Vance be the 2028 Republican nominee for president?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Futuur — Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? · Yes 51%
- Also available on ForecastEx — Will JD Vance win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028? · No 56%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Will JD Vance be the 2028 Republican nominee for President? · No 54%
