PredictItCheck availabilityKYC requiredUnverified resolution dataRetail prediction exchange
Current implied probability
Gavin Newsom 21%Leader of 17 outcomes
Methodology
Retail prediction exchange
Question type
-
24h Volume
$0
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Gavin Newsom21%
Compare venues· Gavin Newsom
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Manifold Markets
Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?
2y
21.2%
16.7%
-0.1pt14.5%
+78 more outcomes
Community forecast1,873 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?
2y
21.2%
-0.1pt16.2%
+0.8pt15.3%
+59 more outcomes
Community forecast484 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will be the democratic nominee for president in 2028
2y
+0.7pt26%
-0.7pt20.8%
+0.2pt14.4%
+27 more outcomes
Community forecast44 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Related Markets
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
$232.7KGadi Eizenkot: 52%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
2028 Republican presidential nominee
$230.4KDonald J. Trump: 3%
KALSHI
KALSHI
MI-07 Democratic nominee?
$10.2KBridget Brink: 9%KALSHI
KALSHI
Michigan Democratic Governor nominee?
$6.1KChris Swanson: 3%KALSHI
KALSHI
Oregon Governor Election Winner
$4.1KDemocrat: 85%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
$3KOhio: 98%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Related News
Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tapeBlockchain.NewsRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.