LimitlessCheck availabilityNo KYCLimited verified dataCurrent implied probabilityGavin Newsom 23%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
-
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jan 21, 26, 12:19 PMNov 8, 28, 4:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Gavin Newsom23%
Compare venues· Gavin Newsom
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall93% match · auto | Medium | 20% | 0pt | $4M | $103.8M | 8 minutes ago | Open → |
 Polymarket94% match · auto | Medium | 19% | -1pt | $1.1M | $70.8M | 14 minutes ago | Open → |
 Smarkets64% match · linked | Low | 21% | +1pt | $1 | $0 | 6 minutes ago | Open → |
| LimitlessThis page | Low | 23% | +3pt | $0 | $0 | 7 minutes ago | |
 Myriad78% match · linked | Low | 48% | +28pt | $0 | $0 | 6 minutes ago | Open → |
 Manifold Markets88% match · verified | — | 20% | 0pt | — | — | 30 days ago | Open → |
| Manifold Markets80% match · verified | — | 22% | +2pt | — | — | 2 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
2y
-0.4%19%
-0.9%14%
-2.1%10%
+125 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$1.2B
24h Vol$1.1M
POLYMARKETAlso available on Kalshi
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
2y
0%
-0.1%0%
-1.0%0%
+43 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$150.9M
24h Vol$4M
KALSHIAlso available on Manifold Markets
Democratic Nominee for 2028 Presidential Election
1y
7.1%
20%
6%
+14 more outcomes
Community forecast21 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
2y
-0.1%21.7%
+0.6%11.7%
-0.1%6.5%
+5 more outcomes
Community forecast13 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Myriad
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
4.7%73y
+0.1%48.3%
-0.1%4.5%
-0.1%22.1%
+29 more outcomes
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$0
24h Vol$0
MYRIADAlso available on Smarkets
Democratic Presidential Nominee
13.5%
0.1%
2.6%
+19 more outcomes
32 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$10.5K
24h Vol$1
SMARKETSRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$0.00Jul 66d of dataJul 11
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.