Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17%Leader of 17 outcomes
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17%Forecasters
24
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+0.1 pts
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleDec 23, 24, 11:29 PM UTCJul 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Conditional on (x) being the 2028 democratic nominee, (x) wins the 2028 presidential election
Manifold MarketsWho will be the Democratic nominee, and will they win the 2028 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democratic nominee for 2028 presidential election be a female?
Manifold MarketsWill the Republican nominee or Democratic nominee for 2028 presidential election be a female?
Manifold MarketsLA-05 Democratic nominee?
KalshiLA-04 Democratic nominee?
KalshiRules
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve based on who becomes the Democratic Party's nominee for the 2028 presidential election, as determined by:
- Securing enough delegates to win the nomination at the Democratic National Convention, OR
- Being declared the presumptive nominee after all other candidates have dropped out or suspended their campaigns
- The market will resolve N/A if:
- The Democratic Party dissolves or ceases to exist before 2028
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Who will be the democratic nominee for president in 2028 · AOC 17%
- Also available on Smarkets — Democratic Presidential Nominee · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17%
- Also available on Kalshi — 2028 Democratic presidential nominee · Jon Ossoff 17%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee · JOSS 20%
- Also available on Polymarket — Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18%
- Also available on Limitless — Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
