Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?
0.2 pts (24h)One-OffPoliticsElectionUS Politics2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastJon Ossoff 18.6%+0.2ptLeader of 81 outcomes
Forecasters
1,899
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+1.6 pts
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Aug 19, 23, 11:47 PM UTCFeb 19, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
0.4%
0.4%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Resolves to 100% whoever is chosen as the nominee at the Democratic National Convention in 2028
- Resolves to "None" if no one is nominated or if their is no convention.
- If for some reason the convention is postponed then this market resolves to whoever is nominated in the postponed convention.
- Unless the "postponed" convention takes place in or after 2032, in which case it resolves "None"
- Remember to bet for "Other".
- Any shares held in "Other" give you free shares for answers subsequently added
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Smarkets — Democratic Presidential Nominee · Jon Ossoff 18%
- Also available on Kalshi — 2028 Democratic presidential nominee · Jon Ossoff 17%
- Also available on Gemini — 2028 Democratic Nominee for President? · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028? · Jon Ossoff 18%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee · JOSS 17%
- Also available on Polymarket — Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18%
- Also available on Limitless — Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18%
- Also available on Myriad — Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 · Gavin Newsom 62%
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.6pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3B
- 24h Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+41.0pt56%
- Nicolás Maduro-39.9pt43%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $706.6M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom13%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $221.9M
- 24h Vol
- $635.7K
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- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $16.7M
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028??
- Manifold Markets prices Jon Ossoff at 19% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028? resolve?
- Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028? is scheduled to resolve on February 19, 2029.
- How is Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves to 100% whoever is chosen as the nominee at the Democratic National Convention in 2028
- Where else is Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Smarkets, Kalshi, Gemini, Manifold Markets, Robinhood (Rothera), Polymarket, Limitless, Myriad.