Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028? [limited responses for less lag]
Politics2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastOther 46.7%Leader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
47
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+0.7 pts
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleNov 3, 23, 9:22 PM UTCJan 2, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
0.1%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will be elected President in 2028? (limited choices)
Manifold MarketsWho will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsPete Buttigieg will be the Democratic nominee for President in 2028.
Manifold MarketsLA-01 Democratic nominee?
KalshiLA-04 Democratic nominee?
KalshiLA-03 Democratic nominee?
KalshiRules
Resolves to 100% whoever is chosen as the nominee at the Democratic National Convention in 2028
- Resolves to "None" if no one is nominated or if their is no convention.
- If for some reason the convention is postponed then this market resolves to whoever is nominated in the postponed convention.
- Unless the "postponed" convention takes place in or after 2032, in which case it resolves "None"
- This market is a duplicate of this one and will resolve identically.
- The purpose of this market is to create a market which has less lag.
Open markets
PoliticsKALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+81.8pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-81.6pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.7pt0%
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $884.5K
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.6M
- 24h Vol
- $655K
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.3M
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt37.1%
- Édouard Philippe32%
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+38 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028? [limited responses for less lag]?
- Manifold Markets prices Other at 47% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028? [limited responses for less lag] resolve?
- Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028? [limited responses for less lag] is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2029.
- How is Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028? [limited responses for less lag] settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves to 100% whoever is chosen as the nominee at the Democratic National Convention in 2028