Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028? [limited responses for less lag]
Politics2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:05 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastOther 47.2%Leader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
48
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleNov 3, 23, 9:22 PM UTCJan 2, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will be elected President in 2028? (limited choices)
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Manifold MarketsPete Buttigieg will be the Democratic nominee for President in 2028.
Manifold MarketsWill Kamala Harris be the Democratic Nominee for President in 2028?
Manifold MarketsLA-04 Democratic nominee?
KalshiLA-05 Democratic nominee?
KalshiRules
Resolves to 100% whoever is chosen as the nominee at the Democratic National Convention in 2028
- Resolves to "None" if no one is nominated or if their is no convention.
- If for some reason the convention is postponed then this market resolves to whoever is nominated in the postponed convention.
- Unless the "postponed" convention takes place in or after 2032, in which case it resolves "None"
- This market is a duplicate of this one and will resolve identically.
- The purpose of this market is to create a market which has less lag.
