Data quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 6:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
Pete Buttigieg 59.3%Leader of 24 outcomes
Pete Buttigieg 59.3%Forecasters
32
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleNov 20, 24, 12:30 AM UTCFeb 19, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
If X is the Republican nominee for president in 2028, will they win the presidency?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsPete Buttigieg will be the Democratic nominee for President in 2028.
Manifold MarketsWho will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028? [limited responses for less lag]
Manifold MarketsLA-04 Democratic nominee?
KalshiLA-05 Democratic nominee?
KalshiRules
Once a nominee is chosen at the Democratic convention, all non-nominees will resolve N/A, leaving only the nominee.
- Then this market will convert to "Will NOMINEE win the 2028 presidential election?"
- I reserve the right to remove or modify duplicates or joke answers.
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/predyx_markets/which-wing-will-win-the-us-presiden?play=true)
