If X is the Democratic nominee for president in 2028, will they win the presidency?

baseOne-OffEntertainment Music Election Politics2y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Data quality warningStale data

Data as of Jul 19, 2026, 7:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2

Current community forecast

Gretchen Whitmer 50%

Leader of 24 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 6 days ago

Stale

Nov 20, 24, 12:30 AMFeb 19, 29, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

Gretchen Whitmer50%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

Once a nominee is chosen at the Democratic convention, all non-nominees will resolve N/A, leaving only the nominee.

Then this market will convert to "Will NOMINEE win the 2028 presidential election?"
I reserve the right to remove or modify duplicates or joke answers.
(https://manifold.markets/embed/predyx_markets/which-wing-will-win-the-us-presiden?play=true)

Volume trend

$150

Jul 182d of dataJul 19

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If X is the Democratic nominee for president in 2028, will they win the presidency?

baseOne-OffEntertainment Music Election Politics2y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Data quality warningStale data

Data as of Jul 19, 2026, 7:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2

Current community forecast

Gretchen Whitmer 50%

Leader of 24 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 6 days ago

Stale

Nov 20, 24, 12:30 AMFeb 19, 29, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

Gretchen Whitmer50%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

Once a nominee is chosen at the Democratic convention, all non-nominees will resolve N/A, leaving only the nominee.

Then this market will convert to "Will NOMINEE win the 2028 presidential election?"
I reserve the right to remove or modify duplicates or joke answers.
(https://manifold.markets/embed/predyx_markets/which-wing-will-win-the-us-presiden?play=true)

Volume trend

$150

Jul 182d of dataJul 19

Related Markets

Next Bosniak President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

$1.7K

Bakir Izetbegović: 50%

POLYMARKET

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by which date?

$766.3

December 31: 6%

POLYMARKET