Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 9, 2026, 6:34 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecast70+ 100%Leader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
22
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 days ago
StaleMay 13, 26, 11:17 PMDec 31, 26, 10:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
100+85%
Volume trend
$550Jul 82d of dataJul 9
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KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
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- I will do no trades.