Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecast2100 28.5%Leader of 12 outcomes
Forecasters
32
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleNov 27, 23, 12:11 PM UTCJan 1, 01, 12:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What share of global energy will come from renewables (excluding nuclear)?
Manifold MarketsWill non-carbon-polluting energies represent 50% of the global energy production by 2050?
Manifold MarketsWhen will global energy consumption exceed 200 thousand TWh?
Manifold MarketsWill global energy consumption exceed 50,000 terawatt-hours in 2040?
Manifold MarketsUS share of global GDP in 2026
KalshiWill any country become a new nuclear power in 2026?
FutuurRules
Resolved to the % of energy from nuclear power for each year, including fusion, according to our world in data:
- https://ourworldindata.org/energy-production-consumption
- [image](I will calculate the % base on the numbers in this graph)
- Note that electricity was only about 20% of global energy use in 2022 (https://yearbook.enerdata.net/electricity/share-electricity-final-consumption.html)
- If our world in data does not refresh their data I will propose and select another resolution source.
- I will not trade in the market.
