What are the current odds for What share of global energy will come from renewables (excluding nuclear)??

Manifold Markets prices 2100 at 87% as of October 25, 2026.

What share of global energy will come from renewables (excluding nuclear)?

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Data quality warningSource data degraded

Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 10:21 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4

Current community forecast

2100 87%

Leader of 12 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

0.0 pts

Market data

Updated 12 hours ago

Stale

Apr 16, 24, 1:40 PM UTCApr 23, 01, 1:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Resolved to the % of energy from hydropower + wind + solar + modern biofuels + other renewables for each year according to our world in data:

https://ourworldindata.org/energy-production-consumption
[image](I will calculate the % base on the numbers in this graph)
Note that electricity was only about 20% of global energy use in 2022 (https://yearbook.enerdata.net/electricity/share-electricity-final-consumption.html)
Fusion does not count for this market.
If our world in data does not refresh their data I will propose and select another resolution source.