KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 5:41 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
74° to 75° 95.2%+60.0ptLeader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
74° to 75° 95.2%+60.0ptMarket quality
41 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$48.2K
Open interest
$39.2K
High open interestMarket data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleOct 24, 26, 2:00 PM UTCOct 26, 26, 6:00 AM UTC
Trends
74° to 75°95.2%
72° to 73°1%
70° to 71°1%
69° or below1%
76° to 77°1%
78° or above1%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Highest temperature in Chicago on Oct 26, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in Chicago on Oct 26, 2026?
KalshiRain in Chicago in Oct 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Chicago on October 26?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Chicago on October 27?
PolymarketLowest temperature in Chicago on October 26?
PolymarketRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value. Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings. If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above.
Rules for each outcome
- 74° to 75°
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Oct 25, 2026, is between 74-75° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 72° to 73°
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Oct 25, 2026, is between 72-73° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 70° to 71°
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Oct 25, 2026, is between 70-71° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 69° or below
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Oct 25, 2026, is less than 70° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 76° to 77°
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Oct 25, 2026, is between 76-77° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 78° or above
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Oct 25, 2026, is greater than 77° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.