base
2,034 markets tracked all-time for base, settled ones included. A market can appear under several topics.
Open Markets
31
Total Volume
$63,811,828
24h Volume
$90,924
Total Liquidity
$579,383,834
Related Crypto Assets
Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
0.1 pt (24h)1y
+6.5pt56.8%
34.2%
8.1%
+3 more outcomes
High quality (82)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$7.9M
24h Vol$90.7K
POLYMARKETBase FDV above ___ one day after launch?
1y
59%
-1.0pt49%
43%
+7 more outcomes
Medium quality (67)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$749.4K
24h Vol$192.3
POLYMARKET
Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 2000 by the end of 2027? (Ark Invest price target - base case)
1y
94.4%
5.6%
Community forecast55 forecastersType: binary
21 hours ago
MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
How many regular-season wins will the New York Giants have in the 2026 NFL season under Jim Harbaugh?
4mo
40.2%
30.2%
13.2%
+2 more outcomes
Community forecast8 forecastersType: multiple choice
1 hour agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich job should I accept? [M$10,000 subsidy]
3y
79.6%
74.6%
63.9%
+3 more outcomes
Community forecast74 forecastersType: multiple choice
2 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhen will the first commercially viable nuclear fusion power plant be built?
44.2%
24.1%
20.8%
+3 more outcomes
Community forecast58 forecastersType: multiple choice
2 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
What is the base of the next nice number?
4y
29.4%
22.3%
14.1%
+6 more outcomes
Community forecast11 forecastersType: multiple choice
2 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat countries will acquire sovereign territory or economic rights within any part of Greenland in 2026?
3mo
11.7%
5.5%
4.5%
+4 more outcomes
Community forecast19 forecastersType: multiple choice
6 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2030?
3y
21.8%
21.8%
16.5%
+4 more outcomes
Community forecast4 forecastersType: multiple choice
9 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Which country will the Chagos Islands belong to on 31 December 2049?
46.9%
25.7%
10%
+5 more outcomes
Community forecast9 forecastersType: multiple choice
13 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat share of global energy will come from nuclear power?
28.5%
21.7%
14%
+9 more outcomes
Community forecast32 forecastersType: multiple choice
14 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill NASA start building a moon base before 2036?
9y
67.8%
32.2%
Community forecast15 forecastersType: binary
8 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIf AI wipes out humanity, which organization(s) will be primarily responsible for the development of this AI?
75.5%
55%
35%
+10 more outcomes
Community forecast11 forecastersType: multiple choice
21 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill there be at least one Bank of England Base Rate increase before the end of 2026?
3mo
53%
47%
Community forecast15 forecastersType: binary
14 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Before when will Gateway be cancelled/abandoned?
3y
98.2%
98%
97.6%
+1 more outcomes
Community forecast11 forecastersType: multiple choice
11 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 1500 by the end of 2026? (Ark Invest price target - base case)
3mo
98.1%
1.9%
Community forecast49 forecastersType: binary
21 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow will the U.S. take Greenland? [Ind MC]
3mo
97%
92.7%
49%
+18 more outcomes
Community forecast145 forecastersType: multiple choice
14 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will there be a moon base by 2030?
3y
90%
10%
Community forecast46 forecastersType: binary
17 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow many people will attend Slutcon 2026?
3mo
39.3%
31.5%
8.4%
+7 more outcomes
Community forecast49 forecastersType: multiple choice
20 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2027
3mo
41%
38.6%
6.7%
+7 more outcomes
Community forecast5 forecastersType: multiple choice
16 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWho invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?
3mo
91.3%
6.7%
1.7%
+1 more outcomes
Community forecast37 forecastersType: multiple choice
18 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
If X is the Democratic nominee for president in 2028, will they win the presidency?
2y
59.3%
59.1%
58.1%
+21 more outcomes
Community forecast32 forecastersType: multiple choice
5 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Which company will achieve the "weak AGI"?
4y
40.3%
27.8%
13.8%
+4 more outcomes
Community forecast17 forecastersType: multiple choice
21 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhere will I live in October 2026?
21d
27.8%
13.2%
13.1%
+5 more outcomes
Community forecast13 forecastersType: multiple choice
13 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2028?
1y
22.2%
15.8%
12.6%
+8 more outcomes
Community forecast2 forecastersType: multiple choice
14 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow many Traders will my 2026 Spotify Market get?
0.2 pt (24h)3mo
100%
100%
100%
+7 more outcomes
Community forecast26 forecastersType: multiple choice
18 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich Model numbers will OpenAI release as a flagship before adding a letter (e.g. ‘o’ in 4o, o1)
1y
100%
100%
100%
+6 more outcomes
Community forecast10 forecastersType: multiple choice
8 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSPrice of Apple M5 Ultra Studio 512gb on Release in 2026
6.6 pt (24h)3mo
+6.6pt31.3%
+3.5pt17.6%
+3.2pt16.4%
+3 more outcomes
Community forecast10 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETS
How much will GTA 6 cost? (USA, PlayStation 5, digital)
3mo
![($71, $91]](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2FRobincvgr%2FI88ChhcuuU.jpg&w=48&q=80){kind=small}
97.5%
1.1%
1%
+1 more outcomes
Community forecast78 forecastersType: multiple choice
15 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIf elected, will Graham Platner vote more like John Fetterman or Elizabeth Warren?
1y
85%
15%
Community forecast8 forecastersType: multiple choice
17 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat will be true about Trump's tariff dividend? ("stimulus check")
2y
100%
100%
73.9%
+15 more outcomes
Community forecast102 forecastersType: multiple choice
20 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS