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What will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2028?

baseOne-OffCentral Banks Fed Inflation AI1y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current community forecast

2.50% or less 5.9%-1.8%

Leader of 11 outcomes

Forecasters

2

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 37 minutes ago

Feb 25, 26, 12:28 PMJan 1, 28, 12:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

2.50% or less6%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

Resolution criteria

The market resolves based on the Bank of England's official Bank Rate on January 1, 2028.
The current official Bank Rate can be verified at the Bank of England Database (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/boeapps/database/Bank-Rate.asp).
The rate will be determined by the most recent Monetary Policy Committee decision before or on that date.
Resolution will match the exact rate announced by the Bank of England, rounded to the nearest 0.25%.
The current Bank of England base rate is 3.75%, held at that level as of February 5, 2026.

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Rules

Resolution criteria

The market resolves based on the Bank of England's official Bank Rate on January 1, 2028.
The current official Bank Rate can be verified at the Bank of England Database (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/boeapps/database/Bank-Rate.asp).
The rate will be determined by the most recent Monetary Policy Committee decision before or on that date.
Resolution will match the exact rate announced by the Bank of England, rounded to the nearest 0.25%.
The current Bank of England base rate is 3.75%, held at that level as of February 5, 2026.