Current community forecast
4.00% 43.2%Leader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
9
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleFeb 25, 26, 12:25 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves based on the official Bank of England Bank Rate (base rate) announced on or around January 1, 2027.
- Resolution will be determined by the most recent MPC decision prior to or on that date, as published on the Bank of England's official Bank Rate database.
- The rate will be rounded to the nearest 0.25% (in 25 basis point increments, which is the standard MPC adjustment unit).
- The Bank of England held the base rate at 3.75% on February 5, 2026.
- The MPC has cut rates six times since August 2024, and if the economy and inflation outlook evolve as expected, there should be scope for some further cuts to Bank Rate in 2026.