KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 0.00% 98%Leader of 18 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$15.2K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Oct 6, 25, 2:00 PM UTCJan 27, 27, 6:55 PM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
KalshiFed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?
KalshiFed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?
KalshiWhat will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2027
Manifold MarketsWill the US Fed Funds rate in 10 years be higher than 4%?
Manifold MarketsWill the US Fed Funds Target Rate be set above 3.875% at the FOMC meeting ending December 9, 2026?
ForecastExRules
If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 0.00% following the Federal Reserve's Jan 27, 2027 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Federal Reserve Board of Governors
- This market will expire the first 2:05 PM ET following the release of a Federal Reserve statement for their Jan 27, 2027 meeting or one week following the last day of that meeting.
- If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 0.25% following the Federal Reserve's Jan 27, 2027 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 0.50% following the Federal Reserve's Jan 27, 2027 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 0.75% following the Federal Reserve's Jan 27, 2027 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 1.00% following the Federal Reserve's Jan 27, 2027 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+10.0pt63.4%
- No change-9.0pt35.6%
- 50+ bps increase+0.4pt1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $112.1M
- 24h Vol
- $6.2M
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+7.0pt63.4%
- Fed maintains rate-11.0pt33.7%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $43.3M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt59%
- Fed maintains rate35.4%
- Cut 25bps-1.0pt2.8%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $446.4K
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.1pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)+1.4pt6%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.6pt1%
+10 more outcomes
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+4.5pt70%
- September Meeting+8.0pt63%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 more outcomes
KALSHIFed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Above 3.50%99%
- Above 2.75%99%
- Above 3.00%99%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.7M
- 24h Vol
- $70.6K
- Fed Decision in October?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed Decision in December?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- Fed decision in September?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Fed funds rate after Jan 2027 meeting??
- Kalshi prices Above 0.00% at 98% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Fed funds rate after Jan 2027 meeting? resolve?
- Fed funds rate after Jan 2027 meeting? is scheduled to resolve on January 27, 2027.
- How is Fed funds rate after Jan 2027 meeting? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 0.00% following the Federal Reserve's Jan 27, 2027 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.