KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAbove 1.25% 96%+1.0%Leader of 18 outcomes
Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$410.6
Liquidity
$13.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
93.0% / 96.0%
Spread
3.2%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 26 minutes ago
Oct 6, 25, 2:00 PMJan 27, 27, 6:55 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Above 1.25%96%
Volume trend
$411Jul 225d of dataJul 26
Macro-Sensitive Assets
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If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 0.00% following the Federal Reserve's Jan 27, 2027 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market will expire the first 2:05 PM ET following the release of a Federal Reserve statement for their Jan 27, 2027 meeting or one week following the last day of that meeting.
- If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 0.25% following the Federal Reserve's Jan 27, 2027 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 0.50% following the Federal Reserve's Jan 27, 2027 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 0.75% following the Federal Reserve's Jan 27, 2027 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 1.00% following the Federal Reserve's Jan 27, 2027 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.