PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
December 31, 2027 56.8%+6.5ptLeader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
82 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$90.7K
Liquidity
$175.3K
High liquiditySpread
0.4 pt
Tight spreadComments
180
7d Change
-0.6 pts
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Sep 15, 25, 3:41 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Base launch a token by __ ?
LimitlessWill Base launch a token by the end of 2026?
FutuurBase FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketWill Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 2000 by the end of 2027? (Ark Invest price target - base case)
Manifold MarketsWill fomo.family launch a token by ___ ?
PolymarketWill Concrete launch a token by which date?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Base officially launches a token by the named outcome, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable.
- Announcements alone do not qualify
- The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Base, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Open markets
CryptoPOLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.3pt100%
- 74,000+1.4pt100%
- 68,000100%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $807.7K
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,250 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
- $76,500 or above98%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $637.3K
- 24h Vol
- $630.2K
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.6pt98%
- $25M+1.1pt96%
- $50M+1.5pt88%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $68,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.4M
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- ↑ 80,000+31.4pt100%
- ↓ 77,500100%
- ↑ 77,500100%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETEthereum above ___ on September 9?
- 1,900100%
- 2,000+0.5pt100%
- 2,100+0.9pt100%
+8 more outcomes
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 11?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Bitcoin all time high by which date?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- What price will Ethereum hit in September?
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 9?
- Bitcoin price on September 9?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Base launch a token by ___ ??
- Polymarket prices December 31, 2027 at 57% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Base launch a token by ___ ? resolve?
- Will Base launch a token by ___ ? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2028.
- How is Will Base launch a token by ___ ? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Base officially launches a token by the named outcome, 11:59 PM ET.